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Bitcoin retreated below $78,000 after briefly surging past $79,500 as prediction market odds for the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act collapsed from 30% back to 18% The crypto market’s brief burst of legislative optimism …

Bitcoin retreated below $78,000 after briefly surging past $79,500 as prediction market odds for the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act collapsed from 30% back to 18% The crypto market’s brief burst of legislative optimism lasted roughly 24 hours. Bitcoin climbed as high as $79,586 on September 14 as traders priced in rising odds that the US Senate might actually pass comprehensive crypto regulation. By the following morning, the rally had unwound and BTC was trading below $78,000. The culprit: a sharp reversal in sentiment around the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act, a bill that would draw clear jurisdictional lines between the CFTC and SEC over digital assets. On Polymarket, the probability of the bill passing surged from roughly 14% to nearly 30% in a single day, then cratered back to 18% as the reality of a divided Senate reasserted itself. Gloria Stocks in one app, crypto in another, wallets everywhere? Gloria Finance brings your whole portfolio into one view. See it all together → What the Clarity Act actually does The legislation represents over a year of bipartisan negotiations aimed at answering a question that has haunted crypto since its inception: which federal agency is in charge of what. The Clarity Act would establish a formal framework sorting digital assets into categories based on their characteristics, assigning each to either the SEC or the CFTC. Advertisement Senate Republicans released a revised draft that incorporated 126 changes requested by Democrats, covering everything from ethics provisions to stablecoin regulations. That willingness to accommodate the other side is what briefly inflated the bill’s odds on prediction markets. The bill faces a cloture vote on September 15, a procedural step that requires 60 votes to advance. Republicans hold 53 Senate seats, meaning they need at least seven Democrats to cross the aisle. That math hasn’t gotten any easier with resistance building from some state attorneys general and financial institutions who have their own reservations about the bill’s approach. The news moving money, markets, and the world—before your day starts. Daily. Free. Join 34,000+ readers across crypto, finance, and policy. Email address Subscribe free We respect your privacy. Unsubscribe anytime. Bitcoin’s round trip Bitcoin still commands roughly 60% of total crypto market capitalization, so its movements tend to set the tone for the entire asset class. When BTC gave back its gains, the broader market followed. Crypto-adjacent equities felt the reversal too. Coinbase, which stands to benefit substantially from clear federal regulation that legitimizes its core business model, saw its shares respond to the shifting legislative winds. The politics behind the prediction markets When Polymarket odds doubled from 14% to 30%, traders didn’t wait for the actual vote. They front-ran the probability shift, bidding up Bitcoin and related assets on the assumption that higher odds meant a higher chance of a favorable outcome. Several state attorneys general have raised concerns about federal preemption of state-level crypto enforcement, a politically sensitive issue that could give wavering senators cover to vote no on procedural grounds while claiming to support the bill’s goals in principle. What happens next The September 15 cloture vote is the immediate inflection point. If the bill clears the 60-vote threshold, it moves to a full Senate debate and eventual vote. If the vote fails, the prediction market collapse from 30% back to 18% suggests that sophisticated bettors are already leaning toward that scenario.

India's largest exchange is going public in a massive offer-for-sale that could reshape the country's unlisted shares market overnight The National Stock Exchange of India, the country’s dominant equities platform, is finally doing what …

India's largest exchange is going public in a massive offer-for-sale that could reshape the country's unlisted shares market overnight The National Stock Exchange of India, the country’s dominant equities platform, is finally doing what it helps thousands of other companies do every year: going public. The IPO subscription window opens September 17 and closes September 21, 2026, with listing expected on the Bombay Stock Exchange around September 24. The numbers behind India’s biggest exchange going public The offering is structured as a pure offer-for-sale (OFS), meaning no new shares will be created. Instead, roughly 126.4 million existing shares held by institutional shareholders will be sold to the public. Gloria See what insiders and Congress are actually buying. Gloria Finance surfaces the moves worth a second look. Follow the money → The price band sits between ₹1,700 and ₹1,785 per share. At the upper end, that puts NSE’s total valuation at approximately ₹4.42 lakh crore, or around $52 billion at current exchange rates. The IPO is expected to raise between ₹22,500 crore and ₹22,568 crore. The shareholder register already exceeds 230,000 names ahead of the offering. Major sellers include the State Bank of India and the Canada Pension Plan Investment Board. LIC, another marquee institutional holder, is reportedly sitting this one out. Advertisement A decade of regulatory roadblocks, finally cleared NSE first explored going public around 2016. Then came the co-location controversy, a scandal involving allegations that certain brokers received preferential access to NSE’s trading servers, allowing them to execute orders microseconds faster than competitors. The Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) launched investigations, and the IPO plans were effectively frozen. A related dark-fibre case, involving the use of dedicated high-speed data lines connecting brokers directly to NSE systems, added another layer of regulatory complexity. Macro, rates, and crypto—what moved markets and what matters next. Daily. Free. Join 34,000+ readers across crypto, finance, and policy. Email address Subscribe free We respect your privacy. Unsubscribe anytime. SEBI granted its regulatory clearance in early September 2026 after determining these issues had been sufficiently resolved. The unlisted shares market faces an existential moment NSE shares have historically accounted for roughly 50% of trading volume on unlisted share platforms like UnlistedZone. Recent prices on these platforms have ranged from about ₹1,950 to ₹2,200 per share, a notable premium over the IPO price band’s upper limit of ₹1,785. For investors holding unlisted NSE shares bought at ₹2,000 or higher, the math gets uncomfortable if the listing price opens near the IPO band. Specialist brokers and platforms that built their businesses around facilitating these trades face a sudden and significant drop in their core revenue stream, as losing the single asset that drives half your volume represents a major business disruption. What this means for India’s capital markets NSE will be listed on BSE, its primary rival. BSE will earn listing fees and transaction revenue from its biggest competitor’s shares. The arrangement was necessary because an exchange obviously cannot list on itself. With over 230,000 shareholders before the IPO even opens, NSE becomes one of the most widely held financial institutions in India. The pricing gap between unlisted market levels and the IPO band raises a question about how India’s gray market for pre-IPO shares operates. If sophisticated participants consistently overpay relative to eventual listing prices, it suggests the unlisted market’s price discovery mechanism is less efficient than its proponents claim.

Binance's shift to weekday-only trading for commodity futures may prompt traders to reassess strategies, impacting market dynamics and liquidity. The post Binance curbs commodity perpetual futures trading to weekdays only appeared first on Crypto …

Binance's shift to weekday-only trading for commodity futures may prompt traders to reassess strategies, impacting market dynamics and liquidity. The post Binance curbs commodity perpetual futures trading to weekdays only appeared first on Crypto Briefing. The exchange is aligning its gold, oil, and silver perpetual contracts with traditional market hours starting September 15. Binance is pulling the plug on round-the-clock commodity trading. Starting …

Xi jinping US visit timing China has introduced new travel restrictions aimed at controlling its citizens’ activities overseas and minimizing high-risk travel, according to a report by BBC World. The measures are part of …

Xi jinping US visit timing China has introduced new travel restrictions aimed at controlling its citizens’ activities overseas and minimizing high-risk travel, according to a report by BBC World. The measures are part of an extensive overhaul of the country’s exit-entry administration, effective immediately. These changes are not linked to any military conflict but instead reflect a heightened state-security posture by the Chinese government. The restrictions include warnings against traveling to high-risk countries, additional documentation requirements, and potential exit bans for certain behaviors abroad. Advertisement Key Takeaways The new restrictions appear to indicate increased state control over Chinese citizens’ overseas movements, consistent with a higher security posture. Market pricing suggests that these developments may be interpreted as indicative of diplomatic tensions between China and other countries. The probability of Xi Jinping visiting the US before 2027 has seen a slight decrease, consistent with scenarios where diplomatic relations might be strained. What to Watch Watch for any official responses from the US or other international actors to China’s tightened travel measures. Developments that might suggest easing diplomatic tensions or a successful diplomatic engagement could shift market expectations regarding Xi Jinping’s potential visit to the US. Any announcements from Chinese or US officials regarding bilateral talks or travel plans may further impact market perceptions. Get live prediction-market analysis, powered by Vera. Sign up for Vera.

Amid pressure from the U.S., chronic yen weakness and inflation, the Bank of Japan looks set to raise rates for the third time in less than 10 months. Amid pressure from the U.S., chronic …

Amid pressure from the U.S., chronic yen weakness and inflation, the Bank of Japan looks set to raise rates for the third time in less than 10 months. Amid pressure from the U.S., chronic yen weakness and inflation, the Bank of Japan looks set to raise rates for the third time in less than 10 months. This story appeared on japantimes.co.jp, 2026-0…

Retail investors dominated KRX's inaugural extended session, triggering over 1,600 volatility halts as thin order books sent prices swinging South Korea’s stock exchange opened its doors after dark for the first time on September …

Retail investors dominated KRX's inaugural extended session, triggering over 1,600 volatility halts as thin order books sent prices swinging South Korea’s stock exchange opened its doors after dark for the first time on September 14, and the results were, well, chaotic. The Korea Exchange’s debut after-hours session drew roughly 1.8 trillion won (about $1.33 billion) in turnover, a respectable showing that also happened to trigger 1,637 volatility interruption halts. For context, a normal daytime session sees around 400. The four-hour window, running from 4 p.m. to 8 p.m. local time, was designed to let Korean investors react to global market developments outside traditional hours. Gloria Your portfolio shows you what you own. Gloria Finance shows you what's worth looking at next. Discover ideas → Retail investors ran the show The most striking detail from the inaugural session: retail investors accounted for 93% of the total turnover. Foreign investors contributed just 3.9%, and institutional participation was essentially a rounding error. Advertisement The session saw 72.24 million shares change hands across 2,501 stocks, covering over 95% of listed KOSPI and Kosdaq names. That breadth is a significant expansion compared to the previous Nextrade system, which offered far fewer eligible securities. Some of the price action was dramatic. Shares of Hanwha Galleria surged 14.6% before pulling back. The 1,637 volatility interruption activations represent more than four times the typical daytime frequency. Macro, rates, and crypto—what moved markets and what matters next. Daily. Free. Join 34,000+ readers across crypto, finance, and policy. Email address Subscribe free We respect your privacy. Unsubscribe anytime. Why KRX built this in the first place The after-hours session is KRX’s answer to a competitive problem. Major global exchanges like Nasdaq and the NYSE have offered extended-hours trading for years, allowing investors worldwide to trade around US market catalysts in near-real time. South Korea’s traditional trading hours left domestic investors unable to respond to overnight developments until the next morning’s bell. The 1.8 trillion won in first-session volume, roughly 7% of average regular-hours turnover, suggests genuine demand exists. The liquidity question looms large Analysts have flagged the liquidity gap as the central challenge for KRX’s extended session going forward. Institutional investors stayed on the sidelines during the debut, and many institutional mandates restrict trading to core hours. Algorithmic trading firms, which supply much of the liquidity on global exchanges during extended hours, also need time to calibrate strategies for a brand-new session. The volatility interruption mechanisms clearly earned their keep during the first session, but if after-hours trading continues to trigger halts at four times the normal rate, KRX may face pressure to introduce additional safeguards or adjust the rules around market-making obligations during extended hours.

Interest rate hikes are now a global trend, marking the longest monetary tightening since 2023. The West Asia oil shock has driven headline inflation higher in major economies. Central banks like the US Fed …

Interest rate hikes are now a global trend, marking the longest monetary tightening since 2023. The West Asia oil shock has driven headline inflation higher in major economies. Central banks like the US Fed and Bank of England are expected to raise rates this… (What's moving Sensex and Nifty Track latest market news, stock tips, Budget 2025, Share Market on Budget 2025 and expert advice, on ETMarkets. Also, ETMarkets.com is now on Telegram. For fastest new…

Markets price in an 86-92% chance of a rate hike as Middle East conflict sends Brent crude past $107 and gold tumbles to a five-week low. Sep. 14, 2026 Gold remained under pressure at …

Markets price in an 86-92% chance of a rate hike as Middle East conflict sends Brent crude past $107 and gold tumbles to a five-week low. Sep. 14, 2026 Gold remained under pressure at around $4,290 an ounce as rising oil supply disruptions fueled expectations for a Federal Reserve rate increase. Advertisement Traders were pricing in a 92% probability of a hike at the central bank’s meeting this week, after bullion dropped more than 1% in the previous session to its lowest level in five weeks, according to data from CME FedWatch Tool. Oil gained after Saudi Arabia shut its East-West pipeline following attacks last week, threatening millions of barrels a day of shipments that had been moving through the route to avoid disruption in the Strait of Hormuz. The kingdom has not said how long the pipeline closure will last or how much additional oil it could move through Hormuz to make up for the lost flows. Higher energy prices could add to inflation pressures, while the 10-year Treasury yield briefly touched 5% on Monday, its highest level in almost three years. Gold has fallen more than 3% in September after trading above $4,600 an ounce in late August.

Robert Mitchnick joins a speaker lineup representing over 1 million BTC in holdings at the closed-door institutional event this September. Robert Mitchnick, BlackRock’s Managing Director and global head of digital assets, will take the …

Robert Mitchnick joins a speaker lineup representing over 1 million BTC in holdings at the closed-door institutional event this September. Robert Mitchnick, BlackRock’s Managing Director and global head of digital assets, will take the stage at the second annual Bitcoin Treasuries Conference on September 28 in New York City. When the world’s largest asset manager sends its top crypto executive to a 300-person, closed-door gathering focused on corporate Bitcoin strategy, it’s worth paying attention to what gets discussed. Mitchnick, who has led BlackRock’s digital assets business since 2018 and was the architect behind the iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT), joins a speaker roster that collectively represents more than 1 million BTC in holdings. Gloria See exactly what Buffett, Soros and Pershing Square are buying — then mirror the smart money in Gloria Finance. Follow the greats → What the conference looks like The event will be held at SECOND, located at 849 6th Avenue in Manhattan, with a hard cap of 300 attendees. The intimate format is deliberate: the Bitcoin Treasuries Conference positions itself as a deal-making environment rather than a traditional crypto expo. Advertisement Last year’s inaugural edition makes the case for that framing. The 2025 conference contributed to a $1.4 billion acquisition involving approximately 11,000 BTC. This year’s speaker lineup extends well beyond Mitchnick. Adam Back, CEO of Bitcoin Standard Treasury Company ($BSTR), is on the bill, along with Grant Cardone, Matt Cole of Strive, and Ric Edelman. The news moving money, markets, and the world—before your day starts. Daily. Free. Join 34,000+ readers across crypto, finance, and policy. Email address Subscribe free We respect your privacy. Unsubscribe anytime. Ticket pricing reflects a tiered approach: general admission runs $795, VIP access costs $1,995, and students or nonprofit representatives can apply for a $295 rate. Why Mitchnick’s presence matters Mitchnick isn’t a spokesperson doing a media circuit. He’s the person who built IBIT from concept to one of the most successful ETF launches in history. The conference agenda is expected to cover several practical dimensions of corporate Bitcoin ownership. Topics include custody frameworks, the trade-offs between holding Bitcoin through ETFs versus direct on-chain ownership, and the strategic implications of mergers and acquisitions in the crypto sector. The ETF versus direct holdings debate is particularly relevant given BlackRock’s position. IBIT gives institutions a regulated, familiar vehicle for Bitcoin exposure. But direct holdings offer different tax treatment, custody flexibility, and governance implications. Having the person who built IBIT in a room discussing the merits and limitations of that product alongside direct-holding advocates could produce unusually candid conversation.

Russia-Ukraine ceasefire agreement Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has expressed Ukraine’s willingness to engage in de-escalation measures, contingent upon similar actions by Russia. This statement, reported by the National Post, comes amidst ongoing tensions in …

Russia-Ukraine ceasefire agreement Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has expressed Ukraine’s willingness to engage in de-escalation measures, contingent upon similar actions by Russia. This statement, reported by the National Post, comes amidst ongoing tensions in Eastern Europe and may influence the outlook for a potential ceasefire agreement between the two nations. Activity suggests an increased likelihood of a ceasefire, with Zelenskyy’s comments potentially acting as a catalyst for diplomatic progress. The current pricing for a ceasefire by December 31, 2026, reflects this sentiment, having risen slightly in response to the developments. Advertisement Key Takeaways Zelenskyy’s statement appears to indicate a readiness for Ukraine to pursue de-escalation, which could influence ceasefire discussions. Pricing suggests increased confidence in a possible ceasefire agreement by the end of 2026, with odds rising to 23.5% YES. Observers note that this development may align with broader diplomatic efforts to resolve the conflict, as reflected in market movements. What to Watch The next steps in diplomatic engagements between Ukraine and Russia will be critical. Key developments could include direct talks between Zelenskyy and Russian President Vladimir Putin or statements from influential international actors such as the U.S. or the OSCE. Additionally, any formal announcements regarding mediation efforts or peace talks could further impact market perceptions and pricing regarding a potential ceasefire. The evolving geopolitical context and statements from involved parties will likely remain closely monitored by market participants. Get live prediction-market analysis, powered by Vera. Sign up for Vera.